Where’s the money going?

One of the most common questions I get asked when on my visits to Advisors is - “What are people doing with the money once they’ve set up an ITC self-administered structure?”

Let me state first that what follows is an observation of movement of existing and new money. As you know, ITC does not offer investment advice, so please don’t confuse the following as a recommendation. If you require any advice in relation to the following, please contact your Advisor.

With our compliance department now satisfied, I think the best way to answer the above question this is to look at the main areas of client interest in 2012.

 

Area 1 - Deposits

The banks thirst for deposits during 2011 and average inflation at 1.65%, made it very easy for investors to achieve “Real” growth with little or no risk.

It was noticeable in 2012 that the banks had changed their tune and were pushing headline rates down and this is expected to continue throughout 2013.

Despite the downward pressure on deposit rates, demand from clients has remained strong and an expected inflation rate for 2013 of 1.3% (HICP) is unlikely to dent this demand.

What we have seen, however, is a shift from short term deposit accounts to the more long term.

These trends are backed up by statistics from the Dept. of Finance.

• Deposits from Insurance Corporations and Pension funds increased by 6.9% in 2012.
• Shorter term deposit rates (less than 2 years) reduced from 3.57% in Jan 2012 to 3.35% in Nov ’12.
• Longer term deposit rates (more than 2 years) increased from 2.37% to 2.42% over the same period.

It’s no surprise that ARF clients are the biggest supporters of deposit strategies. Their age profile means that they have less appetite for risk. This has resulted in over 60% of ITC ARF funds being held in deposits.

We contacted the insured companies towards the end of 2012 regarding the charging structure of their ARF products. An annual management fee of 1% is very common.

This probably explains the inflows to the ITC ARF. Choosing an annual management charge of 0.5% gives most clients a reduction in fees, full access to the deposit markets and covers the Advisors continued work of research, recommendation and implementation.
 

Area 2 - Broker Portfolios

What I’m talking about here is where the Advisor has built their own offering for clients through the use of insured funds, stockbroking accounts and funds, deposit agencies etc.

The ITC products work really well in providing Advisors and clients the structures for choice and control of investments.  

The Advisor assists the client in understanding their attitude to risk/loss, and then builds an agreed portfolio around their goals and objectives.

The strengths of this approach are obvious. The client has a better understanding and more involvement in the process. This gives the client more clarity and control. There are more touch points with the client which, results in a much stronger relationship between the client and Advisor.

For many reasons (to be covered in a future blog), we believe that this type of strategy will continue to grow in 2013 and beyond.
 

Area 3 – Property

We’ve seen a significant pick up in activity for both Commercial and Residential property and the following gives an indication why we have had this activity from existing clients and new clients moving away from traditional insured funds.

• The consensus from the major estate agents is that for prime commercial property in the major cities, prices have stabilised.
• Residential property continued to fall in 2012. In Dublin it was down 2% and down 9% for the country as a whole. But South County Dublin saw an average increase of 3.1%. (Daft.ie)
• Rental yields are averaging 8.8% and the average residential property price was €140k. (Allsop Space/Goodbody 8/12)

The one thing we haven’t seen is leverage. The lenders experience of negative equity and overall impairments has obviously affected their appetite to lend. Will lending to pensions happen again? Yes, I believe so, but in prime property and with lower loan to value ratios.

Martin Glennon QFA CFP® 

Corporate Account Manager
Independent Trustee Company

We asked a 1000 people…

As an industry we know that:

• the current ratio of people working versus those in retirement will half over the next two decades,
• the pending pension burden is unlikely to be absorbed by the state,
• approximately 50% of people working in Ireland do not have a pension and
• life and pension sales according to the IIF (Irish Insurance Federation) 2012 annual report has fallen to “barely 40% of their 2007 peak”.

Unsurprisingly, pensions coverage is being debated ad nausem by the entire pensions industry. However, amongst all the various discussion, debates and column inches the view of the Irish public is often overlooked.

As a result of this, Independent Trustee Company commissioned a RED C survey to investigate why people are reluctant to invest in pensions. We surveyed over 1000 people with some interesting results;

Findings

• Whilst affordability is an issue, it is not the overriding problem, poor performance and access are also a major cause of concern.
• ‘A fear of losing money’ and ‘affordability’ were found to be the main concerns for female respondents.
• Male respondents were more likely to mention ‘retirement being too far off ‘ and ‘an overall lack of trust’ than their female counterparts.
• Middle-aged respondents were most likely to mention ‘a fear of losing some or all of the money’.
• ‘Affordability’ was most likely to be mentioned by people aged 35-54 years.
• Those over 65 years of age; and younger adults were most likely to say that ‘pensions are too complicated’.

We are still digesting these results but it is clear that the lack of pension investment cannot be dismissed as a problem caused by “the economy”. We believe these results have highlighted the need for transparent and secure pension products. Some industry “experts” would lead you to believe that we need to educate the public; this is rubbish, the industry needs to provide people with a product that is designed with them as the consumer in mind and not the other way around!

Michael Keyes

Sales & Marketing Director